Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C badgeCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Mortágua badgeMortáguavsEléctrico badgeEléctrico

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.0%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+18.5 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

MediumEdge +18.5%
Our model65.0%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 18.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Mortágua badge

Mortágua

Attack24
Defence81
Form49
Eléctrico badge

Eléctrico

Attack44
Defence30
Form24

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Our model85.0%
The market85.5%
Edge
-0.5
Odds
1.17

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +18.5%Close
Our model65.0%
The market46.5%
Edge
+18.5
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model45.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
-8.4
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Eléctrico (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Eléctrico Win

Our model38.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.