Motherwellvs
Dundee Utd
3 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.2%
- Market said
- 55.7%
- Edge
- +5.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -14.2
- Odds
- 1.22
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.5
- Odds
- 1.73
Draw No Bet
Motherwell (DNB)
- Edge
- -10.7
- Odds
- 1.47
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -3.4
- Odds
- 1.64
Match Winner
Motherwell Win
- Edge
- -10.9
- Odds
- 1.85
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.81
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
1-2
7.8%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.