Motherwellvs
Heart Of Midlothian
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 65.6%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +15.6 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 15.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +8.1
- Odds
- 1.30
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +15.6
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +7.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Draw No Bet
Motherwell (DNB)
- Edge
- -4.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Motherwell Win
- Edge
- -10.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 13.29
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
8.7%
1-1
8.2% · actual
1-2
7.7%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.