UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 13 August 2026AI PICK

Motherwell badgeMotherwellvsHJK Helsinki badgeHJK Helsinki

2 - 0
Close

Full time · 1 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+2.8 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +2.8%
Our model58.4%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 2.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Motherwell badge

Motherwell

Attack52
Defence52
Form52
HJK Helsinki badge

HJK Helsinki

Attack78
Defence63
Form71

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model75.3%
The market78.1%
Edge
-2.8
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

HJK Helsinki (DNB)

Edge +12.6%Miss
Our model69.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.8%Close
Our model58.4%
The market55.6%
Edge
+2.8
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

HJK Helsinki Win

Edge +33.3%Miss
Our model57.1%
The market23.8%
Edge
+33.3
Odds
4.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.2%
The market55.6%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.3%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.3%

1-1

8.2%

2-2

7.1%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.