Serie D badgeSerie D · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Moto Club badgeMoto ClubvsIAPE badgeIAPE

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
68.5%
Market said
62.5%
Edge
+6.0 pts
Best odds
1.60

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60

MediumEdge +6.0%
Our model68.5%
The market62.5%

The market underrated this by 6.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Moto Club badge

Moto Club

Attack48
Defence60
Form47
IAPE badge

IAPE

Attack39
Defence52
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.0%Miss
Our model68.5%
The market62.5%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
1.60

Match Winner

Moto Club Win

Miss
Our model59.7%
The market61.7%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

Moto Club (DNB)

Void
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.1%Correct
Our model46.5%
The market44.4%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
2.25

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model16.7%
The market14.5%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

16.7%

0-1

13.0%

1-1

11.2%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.