3. Liga badge3. Liga · 16 May 2026AI PICK

MSV Duisburg badgeMSV DuisburgvsFC Viktoria Köln badgeFC Viktoria Köln

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.6%
Market said
63.3%
Edge
+0.3 pts
Best odds
1.58

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.58

MediumEdge +0.3%
Our model63.6%
The market63.3%

The market underrated this by 0.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

MSV Duisburg badge

MSV Duisburg

Attack57
Defence48
Form60
FC Viktoria Köln badge

FC Viktoria Köln

Attack40
Defence54
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model85.0%
The market88.5%
Edge
-3.5
Odds
1.13

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.3%Close
Our model63.6%
The market63.3%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.58

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.8%Correct
Our model62.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
+5.8
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

MSV Duisburg Win

Miss
Our model62.1%
The market68.5%
Edge
-6.4
Odds
1.46

Draw No Bet

MSV Duisburg (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Void
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model9.6%
The market8.3%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.99

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-0

8.8%

1-1

8.2% · actual

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.