MSV Duisburgvs
FC Viktoria Köln
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 63.6%
- Market said
- 63.3%
- Edge
- +0.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.58
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.58
The market underrated this by 0.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
MSV Duisburg
FC Viktoria Köln
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -3.5
- Odds
- 1.13
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +0.3
- Odds
- 1.58
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +5.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
MSV Duisburg Win
- Edge
- -6.4
- Odds
- 1.46
Draw No Bet
MSV Duisburg (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 11.99
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.8%
1-1
8.2% · actual
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.