NB I badgeNB I · 7 August 2026AI PICK

MTK Budapest badgeMTK BudapestvsPuskas Academy badgePuskas Academy

2 - 3
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.6%
Market said
38.6%
Edge
+25.0 pts
Best odds
2.59

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

MTK Budapest Win

Match Winner · best price 2.59

MediumEdge +25.0%
Our model63.6%
The market38.6%

The market underrated this by 25.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

MTK Budapest badge

MTK Budapest

Attack63
Defence49
Form54
Puskas Academy badge

Puskas Academy

Attack18
Defence77
Form30

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +20.4%Miss
Our model87.5%
The market67.1%
Edge
+20.4
Odds
1.49

Draw No Bet

MTK Budapest (DNB)

Edge +11.9%Miss
Our model69.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+11.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

MTK Budapest Win

Edge +25.0%Miss
Our model63.6%
The market38.6%
Edge
+25.0
Odds
2.59

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model56.5%
The market61.0%
Edge
-4.5
Odds
1.64

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +10.5%Miss
Our model53.6%
The market43.1%
Edge
+10.5
Odds
2.32

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model12.7%
The market14.6%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

12.7%

3-0

11.0%

2-1

8.9%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.