1. SNL badge1. SNL · 25 July 2026AI PICK

Mura badgeMuravsOlimpija Ljubljana badgeOlimpija Ljubljana

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
51.7%
Edge
+3.8 pts
Best odds
1.84

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.84

MediumEdge +3.8%
Our model55.5%
The market51.7%

The market underrated this by 3.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Mura badge

Mura

Attack60
Defence24
Form27
Olimpija Ljubljana badge

Olimpija Ljubljana

Attack57
Defence32
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +9.3%Correct
Our model73.0%
The market63.7%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

Mura (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.8%Correct
Our model55.5%
The market51.7%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
1.84

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.2%
The market57.3%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.68

Match Winner

Mura Win

Edge +10.3%Correct
Our model42.8%
The market32.5%
Edge
+10.3
Odds
3.08

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model10.1%
The market11.6%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.60

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.1% · actual

1-1

14.7%

0-0

10.8%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.