Cup badgeCup · 12 August 2026AI PICK

Murom badgeMuromvsMetallurg Lipetsk badgeMetallurg Lipetsk

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.7%
Market said
55.2%
Edge
+0.5 pts
Best odds
1.81

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.81

MediumEdge +0.5%
Our model55.7%
The market55.2%

The market underrated this by 0.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Murom badge

Murom

Attack56
Defence100
Form69
Metallurg Lipetsk badge

Metallurg Lipetsk

Attack69
Defence66
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model72.7%
The market81.3%
Edge
-8.6
Odds
1.23

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.5%Miss
Our model55.7%
The market55.2%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.81

Draw No Bet

Metallurg Lipetsk (DNB)

Void
Our model55.6%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model55.4%
The market58.5%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.71

Match Winner

Metallurg Lipetsk Win

Edge +18.1%Miss
Our model43.1%
The market25.0%
Edge
+18.1
Odds
4.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.1%
The market9.3%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.1%

1-1

8.7%

2-2

7.3%

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.