Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Mushuc Runa SC badgeMushuc Runa SCvsGuayaquil City FC badgeGuayaquil City FC

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.8%
Market said
57.1%
Edge
+5.7 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +5.7%
Our model62.8%
The market57.1%

The market underrated this by 5.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Mushuc Runa SC badge

Mushuc Runa SC

Attack58
Defence39
Form38
Guayaquil City FC badge

Guayaquil City FC

Attack38
Defence53
Form43

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.7%Miss
Our model62.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+5.7
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

Mushuc Runa SC (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Void
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Mushuc Runa SC Win

Miss
Our model52.6%
The market61.7%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model45.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.3%Miss
Our model17.8%
The market15.5%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
6.45

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

17.8%

0-1

11.7%

1-1

10.8%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.