Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 11 July 2026AI PICK

Mushuc Runa SC badgeMushuc Runa SCvsIndependiente del Valle badgeIndependiente del Valle

1 - 4
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.0%
Market said
51.0%
Edge
+11.0 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +11.0%
Our model62.0%
The market51.0%

The market underrated this by 11.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Mushuc Runa SC badge

Mushuc Runa SC

Attack64
Defence37
Form42
Independiente del Valle badge

Independiente del Valle

Attack100
Defence51
Form80

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Draw No Bet

Independiente del Valle (DNB)

Edge +27.4%Correct
Our model84.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
+27.4
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.2%
The market78.1%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.0%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market51.0%
Edge
+11.0
Odds
1.95

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model58.5%
The market54.9%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Independiente del Valle Win

Correct
Our model44.4%
The market54.6%
Edge
-10.2
Odds
1.83

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.0%
The market10.3%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.0%

1-1

8.8%

1-3

6.9%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.