Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 12 May 2026AI PICK

Mushuc Runa SC badgeMushuc Runa SCvsLDU de Quito badgeLDU de Quito

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.6%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+14.0 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +14.0%
Our model69.6%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 14.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Mushuc Runa SC badge

Mushuc Runa SC

Attack61
Defence48
Form44
LDU de Quito badge

LDU de Quito

Attack35
Defence64
Form44

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.0%Miss
Our model69.6%
The market55.6%
Edge
+14.0
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Mushuc Runa SC Win

Edge +15.4%Miss
Our model65.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+15.4
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Mushuc Runa SC (DNB)

Edge +3.9%Miss
Our model61.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.3%
The market57.8%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
1.73

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model18.9%
The market16.5%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.07

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

18.9%

2-0

12.0%

0-0

10.4%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.