Serie D · 8 August 2026AI PICK
Nacional AMvs
ABC
1 - 2Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.5%
- Market said
- 38.2%
- Edge
- +16.3 pts
- Best odds
- 2.62
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.62
The market underrated this by 16.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Nacional AM
ABC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +3.3
- Odds
- 1.44
Draw No Bet
ABC (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.2
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +16.3
- Odds
- 2.62
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +9.2
- Odds
- 2.25
Match Winner
ABC Win
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 2.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.84
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.8% · actual
1-1
12.3%
0-2
8.9%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.