Serie D · 28 August 2026AI PICK
Nacional AMvs
CSA
3 - 1Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 54.0%
- Market said
- 46.1%
- Edge
- +7.9 pts
- Best odds
- 2.17
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.17
The market underrated this by 7.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Nacional AM
CSA
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 5 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 1.32
Draw No Bet
CSA (DNB)
- Edge
- +17.3
- Odds
- 1.95
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +7.9
- Odds
- 2.17
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +15.6
- Odds
- 2.62
Match Winner
CSA Win
- Edge
- +12.8
- Odds
- 2.69
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.84
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
8.9%
We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.