Serie D · 19 April 2026AI PICK
Nacional AMvs
GAS
3 - 2Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 72.2%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +14.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 14.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Nacional AM
GAS
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -5.9
- Odds
- 1.10
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +14.4
- Odds
- 1.73
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +29.0
- Odds
- 2.62
Match Winner
Nacional AM Win
- Edge
- +15.5
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Nacional AM (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.