Serie D · 18 July 2026AI PICK
Nacional AMvs
Iguatu
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.7%
- Market said
- 45.5%
- Edge
- +12.2 pts
- Best odds
- 2.20
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.20
The market underrated this by 12.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Nacional AM
Iguatu
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -1.0
- Odds
- 1.33
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +12.2
- Odds
- 2.20
Draw No Bet
Iguatu (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +15.8
- Odds
- 2.50
Match Winner
Iguatu Win
- Edge
- +12.4
- Odds
- 3.40
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.28
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
9.4%
1-1
12.5% · actual
0-2
7.2%
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.