Serie D · 16 May 2026AI PICK
Nacional AMvs
Manauara
0 - 1Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 70.5%
- Market said
- 42.0%
- Edge
- +28.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.38
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.38
The market underrated this by 28.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Nacional AM
Manauara
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +28.5
- Odds
- 2.38
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +15.5
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Nacional AM Win
- Edge
- +12.2
- Odds
- 2.15
Draw No Bet
Nacional AM (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.2
- Odds
- 12.56
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.2%
3-1
7.0%
1-0
6.9%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.