Serie D badgeSerie D · 14 June 2026AI PICK

Nacional AM badgeNacional AMvsMonte Roraima badgeMonte Roraima

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.5%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+16.7 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +16.7%
Our model65.5%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 16.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Nacional AM badge

Nacional AM

Attack81
Defence62
Form62
Monte Roraima badge

Monte Roraima

Attack59
Defence31
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.7%Correct
Our model65.5%
The market48.8%
Edge
+16.7
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +16.5%Correct
Our model64.1%
The market47.6%
Edge
+16.5
Odds
2.10

Draw No Bet

Nacional AM (DNB)

Correct
Our model57.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Nacional AM Win

Correct
Our model49.5%
The market63.7%
Edge
-14.2
Odds
1.57

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.3%
The market8.1%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.31

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.3%

1-0

8.1%

1-1

7.9%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.