Division Profesional - Apertura badgeDivision Profesional - Apertura · 24 April 2026AI PICK

Nacional Asuncion badgeNacional AsuncionvsDeportivo Recoleta badgeDeportivo Recoleta

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.1%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+2.5 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +2.5%
Our model57.1%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 2.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Nacional Asuncion badge

Nacional Asuncion

Attack45
Defence53
Form41
Deportivo Recoleta badge

Deportivo Recoleta

Attack59
Defence45
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.5%Correct
Our model57.1%
The market54.6%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Nacional Asuncion Win

Edge +3.3%Correct
Our model53.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model51.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

Nacional Asuncion (DNB)

Correct
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.