Division Profesional - Apertura badgeDivision Profesional - Apertura · 24 May 2026AI PICK

Nacional Asuncion badgeNacional AsuncionvsLibertad Asuncion badgeLibertad Asuncion

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.1%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+6.1 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +6.1%
Our model56.1%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 6.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Nacional Asuncion badge

Nacional Asuncion

Attack44
Defence61
Form52
Libertad Asuncion badge

Libertad Asuncion

Attack55
Defence40
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.1%Correct
Our model56.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Nacional Asuncion Win

Edge +3.8%Correct
Our model51.4%
The market47.6%
Edge
+3.8
Odds
2.10

Draw No Bet

Nacional Asuncion (DNB)

Correct
Our model48.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.13

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.6%

1-0

11.8%

1-1

10.9%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.