Division Profesional - Clausura badgeDivision Profesional - Clausura · 2 September 2026AI PICK

Nacional Asuncion badgeNacional AsuncionvsLibertad Asuncion badgeLibertad Asuncion

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
43.9%
Edge
+17.3 pts
Best odds
2.28

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.28

MediumEdge +17.3%
Our model61.2%
The market43.9%

The market underrated this by 17.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Nacional Asuncion badge

Nacional Asuncion

Attack60
Defence92
Form67
Libertad Asuncion badge

Libertad Asuncion

Attack67
Defence48
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model74.6%
The market74.6%
Edge
0.0
Odds
1.34

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.3%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market43.9%
Edge
+17.3
Odds
2.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.3%Miss
Our model55.2%
The market52.9%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.89

Draw No Bet

Libertad Asuncion (DNB)

Miss
Our model51.6%
The market53.8%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
1.86

Match Winner

Libertad Asuncion Win

Miss
Our model38.5%
The market39.7%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
2.52

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.4%
The market9.6%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.39

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-1

11.8%

2-1

8.4%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.