Division Profesional - Clausura badgeDivision Profesional - Clausura · 24 August 2026AI PICK

Nacional Asuncion badgeNacional AsuncionvsSportivo Luqueno badgeSportivo Luqueno

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
51.0%
Edge
+2.8 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

LowEdge +2.8%
Our model53.8%
The market51.0%

The market underrated this by 2.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Nacional Asuncion badge

Nacional Asuncion

Attack46
Defence71
Form56
Sportivo Luqueno badge

Sportivo Luqueno

Attack50
Defence41
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model73.8%
The market84.7%
Edge
-10.9
Odds
1.18

Draw No Bet

Nacional Asuncion (DNB)

Correct
Our model66.8%
The market70.9%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.41

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.8%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market51.0%
Edge
+2.8
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model53.7%
The market55.0%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Nacional Asuncion Win

Correct
Our model52.7%
The market56.2%
Edge
-3.5
Odds
1.78

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Our model8.2%
The market9.4%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.65

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.2%

1-0

8.0%

2-0

6.3% · actual

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.