Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Nacional badgeNacionalvsGuimaraes badgeGuimaraes

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Model confidence
57.5%
Markets called
3 of 4 right
Final score
2 - 0

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.57

MediumEdge -6.2%
Our model57.5%
The market63.7%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Nacional badge

Nacional

Attack32
Defence60
Form31
Guimaraes badge

Guimaraes

Attack52
Defence39
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market79.4%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.26

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model57.5%
The market63.7%
Edge
-6.2
Odds
1.57

Match Winner

Nacional Win

Correct
Our model44.9%
The market52.6%
Edge
-7.7
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Nacional (DNB)

Correct
Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model14.6%
The market12.7%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
7.87

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

14.6%

1-0

11.0%

1-1

10.8%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.