2. Division badge2. Division · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Naestved badgeNaestvedvsThisted FC badgeThisted FC

0 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+7.2 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +7.2%
Our model61.3%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 7.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Naestved badge

Naestved

Attack34
Defence49
Form44
Thisted FC badge

Thisted FC

Attack39
Defence64
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.2%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model51.3%
The market55.6%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Naestved (DNB)

Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Naestved Win

Our model38.8%
The market52.4%
Edge
-13.6
Odds
1.91

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.0%Close
Our model15.5%
The market13.5%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.5%

1-0

14.3%

1-1

11.4%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.