Prva Liga badgePrva Liga · 24 August 2026AI PICK

Naftagas badgeNaftagasvsGrafičar badgeGrafičar

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
58.4%
Markets called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Final score
2 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

MediumEdge -5.3%
Our model58.4%
The market63.7%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Naftagas badge

Naftagas

Attack36
Defence50
Form27
Grafičar badge

Grafičar

Attack25
Defence44
Form30

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model77.7%
The market74.6%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.34

Draw No Bet

Naftagas (DNB)

Edge +4.0%Correct
Our model65.3%
The market61.3%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
1.63

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model58.4%
The market63.7%
Edge
-5.3
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model52.7%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.4
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Naftagas Win

Correct
Our model42.1%
The market42.4%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
2.36

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model16.5%
The market19.0%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.26

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

16.5%

0-0

18.2%

1-1

14.4%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.