Premier League badgePremier League · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Naftan badgeNaftanvsBate Borisov badgeBate Borisov

0 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.3%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+2.5 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +2.5%
Our model60.3%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 2.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Naftan badge

Naftan

Attack48
Defence32
Form26
Bate Borisov badge

Bate Borisov

Attack27
Defence52
Form26

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +12.0%
Our model85.0%
The market73.0%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
1.37

Draw No Bet

Naftan (DNB)

Edge +3.9%Void
Our model61.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.5%Correct
Our model60.3%
The market57.8%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Naftan Win

Edge +3.7%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model41.1%
The market54.9%
Edge
-13.8
Odds
1.82

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.8%Miss
Our model21.6%
The market18.8%
Edge
+2.8
Odds
5.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

21.6%

0-0

14.7% · actual

2-0

11.9%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.