Premier League badgePremier League · 6 September 2026AI PICK

Naftan badgeNaftanvsFC Minsk badgeFC Minsk

0 - 3
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
45.1%
Edge
+16.1 pts
Best odds
2.13

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.13

MediumEdge +16.1%
Our model61.2%
The market45.1%

The market underrated this by 16.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Naftan badge

Naftan

Attack37
Defence24
Form19
FC Minsk badge

FC Minsk

Attack48
Defence43
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market87.7%
Edge
-15.0
Odds
1.14

Draw No Bet

FC Minsk (DNB)

Correct
Our model61.5%
The market75.8%
Edge
-14.3
Odds
1.32

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.1%Close
Our model61.2%
The market45.1%
Edge
+16.1
Odds
2.13

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market46.5%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
2.07

Match Winner

FC Minsk Win

Correct
Our model43.6%
The market59.9%
Edge
-16.3
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model11.6%
The market13.3%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
7.51

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.6%

1-1

15.0%

0-0

12.8%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.