Premier League badgePremier League · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Naftan badgeNaftanvsSlavia Mozyr badgeSlavia Mozyr

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
52.6%
Market said
49.8%
Edge
+2.8 pts
Best odds
2.01

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.01

LowEdge +2.8%
Our model52.6%
The market49.8%

The market underrated this by 2.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Naftan badge

Naftan

Attack44
Defence35
Form26
Slavia Mozyr badge

Slavia Mozyr

Attack47
Defence53
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.3%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.31

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.8%Miss
Our model52.6%
The market49.8%
Edge
+2.8
Odds
2.01

Draw No Bet

Naftan (DNB)

Our model50.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Naftan Win

Edge +15.8%
Our model40.0%
The market24.2%
Edge
+15.8
Odds
4.14

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.9%
Our model14.2%
The market12.3%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
8.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

14.2% · actual

1-0

14.2%

1-1

11.4%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.