J1 League badgeJ1 League · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Nagoya Grampus badgeNagoya GrampusvsKyoto Sanga badgeKyoto Sanga

3 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
75.2%
Market said
52.1%
Edge
+23.1 pts
Best odds
1.92

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.92

High confidenceEdge +23.1%
Our model75.2%
The market52.1%

The market underrated this by 23.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Nagoya Grampus badge

Nagoya Grampus

Attack69
Defence55
Form67
Kyoto Sanga badge

Kyoto Sanga

Attack62
Defence50
Form46

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.3%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.31

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +23.1%Correct
Our model75.2%
The market52.1%
Edge
+23.1
Odds
1.92

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.5%Miss
Our model69.0%
The market58.5%
Edge
+10.5
Odds
1.71

Match Winner

Nagoya Grampus Win

Edge +8.9%Correct
Our model58.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.9
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Nagoya Grampus (DNB)

Correct
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.1%
Our model8.0%
The market6.9%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
14.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.0%

2-2

7.2%

1-2

6.5%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.