League One badgeLeague One · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Nanjing City badgeNanjing CityvsGuangxi Hengchen badgeGuangxi Hengchen

0 - 2
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
52.9%
Edge
+8.4 pts
Best odds
1.89

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.89

MediumEdge +8.4%
Our model61.3%
The market52.9%

The market underrated this by 8.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Nanjing City badge

Nanjing City

Attack37
Defence57
Form36
Guangxi Hengchen badge

Guangxi Hengchen

Attack78
Defence44
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +2.2%Correct
Our model78.0%
The market75.8%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
1.32

Draw No Bet

Guangxi Hengchen (DNB)

Edge +12.6%Correct
Our model69.4%
The market56.8%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
1.76

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.4%Close
Our model61.3%
The market52.9%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
1.89

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market58.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.72

Match Winner

Guangxi Hengchen Win

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model50.0%
The market45.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
2.22

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Close
Our model9.9%
The market11.4%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.74

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.9%

1-1

10.7%

0-2

9.0% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.