League One · 16 August 2026AI PICK
Nanjing Cityvs
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 50.0%
- Edge
- +3.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.00
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00
The market underrated this by 3.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Nanjing City
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +9.6
- Odds
- 1.60
Draw No Bet
Heilongjiang Lava Spring (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.7
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -2.8
- Odds
- 1.80
Match Winner
Heilongjiang Lava Spring Win
- Edge
- +10.0
- Odds
- 3.10
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.73
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
10.0%
1-1
12.9% · actual
0-2
9.7%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.