UEFA Champions League · 9 September 2026AI PICK
Napolivs
Arsenal
0 - 1Miss
Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 62.1%
- Market said
- 49.6%
- Edge
- +12.5 pts
- Best odds
- 1.99
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.99
MediumEdge +12.5%
Our model62.1%
The market49.6%
The market underrated this by 12.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
Edge +6.8%Correct
Our model83.1%
The market76.3%
- Edge
- +6.8
- Odds
- 1.31
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
Edge +12.5%Miss
Our model62.1%
The market49.6%
- Edge
- +12.5
- Odds
- 1.99
Draw No Bet
Arsenal (DNB)
Correct
Our model61.1%
The market70.4%
- Edge
- -9.3
- Odds
- 1.42
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
Miss
Our model51.8%
The market53.7%
- Edge
- -1.9
- Odds
- 1.81
Match Winner
Arsenal Win
Correct
Our model50.8%
The market53.5%
- Edge
- -2.7
- Odds
- 1.87
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.