Serie A badgeSerie A · 24 April 2026AI PICK

Napoli badgeNapolivsCremonese badgeCremonese

4 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.1%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+12.7 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +12.7%
Our model65.1%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 12.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Napoli badge

Napoli

Attack59
Defence42
Form57
Cremonese badge

Cremonese

Attack22
Defence35
Form16

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Draw No Bet

Napoli (DNB)

Edge +9.9%Correct
Our model67.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.7%Miss
Our model65.1%
The market52.4%
Edge
+12.7
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Napoli Win

Edge +12.4%Correct
Our model62.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+12.4
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model41.2%
The market44.4%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
2.25

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.