Serie A badgeSerie A · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Napoli badgeNapolivsLazio badgeLazio

0 - 2
Miss

Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.9%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+12.9 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Napoli Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +12.9%
Our model62.9%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 12.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Napoli badge

Napoli

Attack62
Defence47
Form64
Lazio badge

Lazio

Attack41
Defence54
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Match Winner

Napoli Win

Edge +12.9%Miss
Our model62.9%
The market50.0%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Napoli (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Miss
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.8%Miss
Our model52.2%
The market44.4%
Edge
+7.8
Odds
2.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.9%Close
Our model50.4%
The market45.5%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
2.20

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.