Serie A badgeSerie A · 24 May 2026AI PICK

Napoli badgeNapolivsUdinese badgeUdinese

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+12.3 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +12.3%
Our model62.3%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 12.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Napoli badge

Napoli

Attack71
Defence57
Form64
Udinese badge

Udinese

Attack55
Defence70
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +12.3%Miss
Our model62.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+12.3
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.2%Miss
Our model61.6%
The market52.4%
Edge
+9.2
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Napoli Win

Correct
Our model59.7%
The market67.6%
Edge
-7.9
Odds
1.48

Draw No Bet

Napoli (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model9.6%
The market8.3%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
12.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-0

9.3% · actual

1-1

8.6%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.