Prva Liga badgePrva Liga · 2 August 2026AI PICK

Napredak badgeNapredakvsGrafičar badgeGrafičar

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
78.3%
Market said
61.7%
Edge
+16.6 pts
Best odds
1.62

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

High confidenceEdge +16.6%
Our model78.3%
The market61.7%

The market underrated this by 16.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model80.8%
The market90.9%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.10

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.6%Correct
Our model78.3%
The market61.7%
Edge
+16.6
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +18.2%Correct
Our model72.3%
The market54.1%
Edge
+18.2
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Napredak (DNB)

Edge +12.0%Correct
Our model69.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.0
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Napredak Win

Correct
Our model43.3%
The market66.7%
Edge
-23.4
Odds
1.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Correct
Our model20.8%
The market23.9%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
4.19

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

20.8% · actual

0-0

21.6%

1-1

12.5%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.