Napredakvs
Grafičar
1 - 0Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 78.3%
- Market said
- 61.7%
- Edge
- +16.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.62
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62
The market underrated this by 16.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 1.10
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +16.6
- Odds
- 1.62
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +18.2
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Napredak (DNB)
- Edge
- +12.0
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Napredak Win
- Edge
- -23.4
- Odds
- 1.50
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 4.19
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
20.8% · actual
0-0
21.6%
1-1
12.5%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.