Prva Liga badgePrva Liga · 23 August 2026AI PICK

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1 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+6.2 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95

LowEdge +6.2%
Our model53.8%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 6.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Napredak badge

Napredak

Attack38
Defence85
Form50
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TSC Backa Topola

Attack60
Defence44
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.6%
Our model78.2%
The market74.6%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
1.34

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.2%Correct
Our model53.8%
The market47.6%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
1.95

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.1%Correct
Our model53.7%
The market39.6%
Edge
+14.1
Odds
2.17

Draw No Bet

Napredak (DNB)

Edge +7.2%Miss
Our model50.3%
The market43.1%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
2.32

Match Winner

Napredak Win

Edge +5.9%Miss
Our model39.3%
The market33.4%
Edge
+5.9
Odds
2.99

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Correct
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.09

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.6% · actual

1-1

12.7%

0-2

8.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.