J3 League badgeJ3 League · 16 August 2026AI PICK

Nara Club badgeNara ClubvsKagoshima United badgeKagoshima United

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+8.4 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +8.4%
Our model58.4%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 8.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Nara Club badge

Nara Club

Attack90
Defence27
Form42
Kagoshima United badge

Kagoshima United

Attack68
Defence69
Form60

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +14.3%
Our model72.1%
The market57.8%
Edge
+14.3
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Nara Club (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.4%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+8.4
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.1%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Nara Club Win

Edge +20.8%Miss
Our model49.4%
The market28.6%
Edge
+20.8
Odds
3.50

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.61

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

9.3%

2-2

6.8%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.