Serie D - Girone H badgeSerie D - Girone H · 3 May 2026AI PICK

Nardò badgeNardòvsBarletta badgeBarletta

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.4%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+10.8 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +10.8%
Our model63.4%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 10.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Nardò badge

Nardò

Attack50
Defence77
Form53
Barletta badge

Barletta

Attack95
Defence100
Form91

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.8%Miss
Our model63.4%
The market52.6%
Edge
+10.8
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.9%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Barletta (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Barletta Win

Our model37.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-12.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.