Nashville SCvs
New York City FC
2 - 1Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 73.8%
- Market said
- 54.1%
- Edge
- +19.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 19.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Nashville SC
New York City FC
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +19.7
- Odds
- 1.85
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +12.9
- Odds
- 1.80
Draw No Bet
Nashville SC (DNB)
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Nashville SC Win
- Edge
- -11.8
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- +1.0
- Odds
- 14.31
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.0%
2-2
7.2%
2-1
6.9% · actual
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.