Premier League badgePremier League · 17 May 2026AI PICK

National Bank of Egypt badgeNational Bank of EgyptvsEl Gouna FC badgeEl Gouna FC

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.4%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+5.0 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

High confidenceEdge +5.0%
Our model70.4%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 5.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

National Bank of Egypt badge

National Bank of Egypt

Attack64
Defence44
Form51
El Gouna FC badge

El Gouna FC

Attack34
Defence68
Form42

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model70.4%
The market65.4%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.53

Match Winner

National Bank of Egypt Win

Edge +6.3%Miss
Our model64.1%
The market57.8%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

National Bank of Egypt (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Void
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model44.6%
The market46.5%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
2.15

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model18.9%
The market16.5%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.07

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

18.9%

2-0

12.0%

0-0

10.4%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.