Serie B badgeSerie B · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Nautico Recife badgeNautico RecifevsAmerica Mineiro badgeAmerica Mineiro

4 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.3%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+7.3 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Nautico Recife Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +7.3%
Our model57.3%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 7.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Nautico Recife badge

Nautico Recife

Attack69
Defence50
Form58
America Mineiro badge

America Mineiro

Attack47
Defence31
Form19

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Nautico Recife (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Nautico Recife Win

Edge +7.3%Correct
Our model57.3%
The market50.0%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model51.5%
The market54.6%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.83

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.8%
Our model13.7%
The market11.9%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.7%

1-1

10.1%

2-0

9.5%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.