Serie B badgeSerie B · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Nautico Recife badgeNautico RecifevsAtletico Goianiense badgeAtletico Goianiense

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
54.3%
Edge
+0.2 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

LowEdge +0.2%
Our model54.5%
The market54.3%

The market underrated this by 0.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Nautico Recife badge

Nautico Recife

Attack60
Defence48
Form42
Atletico Goianiense badge

Atletico Goianiense

Attack49
Defence67
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market73.5%
Edge
-0.8
Odds
1.36

Draw No Bet

Nautico Recife (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Void
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.2%Correct
Our model54.5%
The market54.3%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model53.6%
The market55.2%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Nautico Recife Win

Edge +1.1%Miss
Our model43.1%
The market42.0%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
2.38

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.10

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.6%

1-1

13.9% · actual

2-1

9.2%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.