Serie B badgeSerie B · 3 September 2026AI PICK

Nautico Recife badgeNautico RecifevsBotafogo SP badgeBotafogo SP

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
57.2%
Edge
+4.0 pts
Best odds
1.68

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.68

MediumEdge +4.0%
Our model61.2%
The market57.2%

The market underrated this by 4.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Nautico Recife badge

Nautico Recife

Attack41
Defence45
Form33
Botafogo SP badge

Botafogo SP

Attack53
Defence50
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model71.9%
The market82.0%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.22

Draw No Bet

Nautico Recife (DNB)

Correct
Our model63.2%
The market66.7%
Edge
-3.5
Odds
1.50

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.0%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market57.2%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
1.68

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.8%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market52.8%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.82

Match Winner

Nautico Recife Win

Correct
Our model48.2%
The market51.5%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
1.94

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.30

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.4% · actual

2-1

6.7%

2-0

5.5%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.