Serie B badgeSerie B · 22 May 2026AI PICK

Nautico Recife badgeNautico RecifevsCuiaba badgeCuiaba

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
66.5%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+12.4 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Nautico Recife Win

Match Winner · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +12.4%
Our model66.5%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 12.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Nautico Recife badge

Nautico Recife

Attack73
Defence45
Form58
Cuiaba badge

Cuiaba

Attack20
Defence59
Form26

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model86.0%
The market86.2%
Edge
-0.2
Odds
1.16

Draw No Bet

Nautico Recife (DNB)

Edge +13.9%Correct
Our model71.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+13.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Nautico Recife Win

Edge +12.4%Correct
Our model66.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
+12.4
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model65.5%
The market66.7%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model39.2%
The market45.9%
Edge
-6.7
Odds
2.18

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model21.1%
The market18.4%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
5.44

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

21.1% · actual

2-0

18.0%

3-0

10.8%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.