Serie B badgeSerie B · 9 June 2026AI PICK

Nautico Recife badgeNautico RecifevsFortaleza EC badgeFortaleza EC

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.4%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+10.0 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +10.0%
Our model62.4%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 10.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Nautico Recife badge

Nautico Recife

Attack66
Defence50
Form58
Fortaleza EC badge

Fortaleza EC

Attack66
Defence64
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.0%Miss
Our model62.4%
The market52.4%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Nautico Recife Win

Edge +16.7%Miss
Our model60.2%
The market43.5%
Edge
+16.7
Odds
2.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.2%Miss
Our model59.7%
The market43.5%
Edge
+16.2
Odds
2.30

Draw No Bet

Nautico Recife (DNB)

Miss
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.2%Miss
Our model9.2%
The market8.0%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.51

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

9.2%

1-0

8.8%

2-1

8.6%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.