Serie B badgeSerie B · 23 July 2026AI PICK

Nautico Recife badgeNautico RecifevsLondrina badgeLondrina

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
49.0%
Edge
+6.5 pts
Best odds
1.97

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.97

MediumEdge +6.5%
Our model55.5%
The market49.0%

The market underrated this by 6.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Nautico Recife badge

Nautico Recife

Attack56
Defence41
Form33
Londrina badge

Londrina

Attack56
Defence43
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.5%Correct
Our model55.5%
The market49.0%
Edge
+6.5
Odds
1.97

Draw No Bet

Nautico Recife (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market51.5%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.87

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model51.7%
The market86.2%
Edge
-34.5
Odds
1.16

Match Winner

Nautico Recife Win

Correct
Our model42.8%
The market57.8%
Edge
-15.0
Odds
1.73

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model8.6%
The market9.9%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
10.15

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

8.6% · actual

1-1

13.8%

0-0

8.3%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.