Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C badgeCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Naval 1893 badgeNaval 1893vsVitória de Sernache badgeVitória de Sernache

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
70.4%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+17.8 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

High confidenceEdge +17.8%
Our model70.4%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 17.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Naval 1893 badge

Naval 1893

Attack29
Defence94
Form56
Vitória de Sernache badge

Vitória de Sernache

Attack31
Defence100
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.8%Correct
Our model70.4%
The market52.6%
Edge
+17.8
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +6.1%Correct
Our model60.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Naval 1893 Win

Edge +5.1%Correct
Our model55.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+5.1
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Naval 1893 (DNB)

Correct
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.