Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 badgeSegunda División RFEF - Group 5 · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Navalcarnero badgeNavalcarnerovsConquense badgeConquense

2 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.7%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+5.6 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +5.6%
Our model59.7%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 5.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Navalcarnero badge

Navalcarnero

Attack44
Defence39
Form27
Conquense badge

Conquense

Attack65
Defence54
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.6%Miss
Our model59.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
+5.6
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.6%Close
Our model55.2%
The market42.6%
Edge
+12.6
Odds
2.35

Draw No Bet

Navalcarnero (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Navalcarnero Win

Our model36.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-13.8
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.