Taça de Portugal · 30 August 2026AI PICK
Nazarenosvs
Vitória de Sernache
0 - 3Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.3%
- Market said
- 59.9%
- Edge
- +1.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.67
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67
The market underrated this by 1.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Nazarenos
Vitória de Sernache
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.9
- Odds
- 1.22
Draw No Bet
Vitória de Sernache (DNB)
- Edge
- -9.3
- Odds
- 1.29
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Vitória de Sernache Win
- Edge
- -4.3
- Odds
- 1.59
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- -5.9
- Odds
- 1.67
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -2.3
- Odds
- 5.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
15.1%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.6%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.